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NFL Week 4 MNF: Seattle vs Miami (Tenn vs Mia)
- Sports Picks That Save You Time, Give You Insight, and Make You Money!
- Prizepicks, Fanduel, DraftKings, and Underdog entries below
- EXPERT PICKS: Confidence and Picks Against Spread
- BEST BETS With Detailed Breakdown
- PLAYER PROPS Below Too 👇
- You can email us with start/sit, trade & betting questions!
- 💰 57% 🤑 ON PLAYER PROPS so far! (not counting Sunday)
- We crushed the props on Sunday (will update it on Thursday)
- 💰 6-3 Best Bets for Sunday for 67% Win Rate 🤑
- Lines will be based on best bets if we use them since lines change constantly.
EXPERT PICKS: Money Line
EXPERT PICKS: Pick 6 Spreads
Ray's Picks Against The Spread For Every Game
NFL Player Props For THURSDAY WEEK 4
You can use our picks as a guide for any site you play on. A bunch of people email me all the time asking us about different lines on what they play on so feel free to email us at ray@swagscale.com We will get back to you as soon as possible.
QB's
- Gino Smith over 245.5 pass yards ✅
- Will Levis over 194.5 pass yards REBOOT
- Will Levis Over 15.5 rush yards REBOOT
- Tyler Huntley Over 163.5 pass Yards
RB'S
- Jaymir Gibbs over 76.5 rush+rec yards ✅
- Jaymir Gibbs over 53.5 rush yards ✅
- Tony Pollard over 50.5 rush yards ✅
- Devon Achane over 23.5 rec yards
- Devon Achane over 39.5 rush yards
- Jaymir Gibbs over 21.5 rec yards
WIDES
- DK Metcalf over 62.5 yards ✅
- Tyler Locket over 43.5 rec yards ✅
- Tyreek Hill Over 52.5 yards
- Calvin Ridley over 40.5 yards
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 50.5 yards ✅
- Amon-Ra St Brown over 77.5 rec yards
- Jameson Williams over 43.5 rec yards ✅
TE's
KICKERS
- Jason Sanders over 1.5 fg ✅
- Matt Prater over 1.5 fg
Special
Year To Date For PLAYER PROPS 56% 🤑
Win: 121
Loss: 93
Total: 214
57% 🤑 (updated after MONDAY)
- 50% to 54%: This is considered average. Achieving a win rate in this range means you're breaking even or making slight profits, depending on the odds and the vig (the bookmaker's cut).
- 55% to 60%: This is considered good. Bettors with this win percentage usually profit, assuming they're betting with consistent stakes and managing their bankroll effectively.
- 60% and above: This is considered excellent. Achieving this win rate consistently is challenging and typically indicates high expertise or an effective betting strategy.
BEST BETS, PRIZEPICKS, FANDUEL, DRAFTKINGS, UNDERDOG ENTRIES BELOW👇👇👇👇👇👇
BEST BETS FOR SUNDAY WEEK 4
- I will do straight bets for all of these and usually do round robins (2x2 parlays)
- I mix and match these in Prizepicks and Underdog Entries.
- Fanduel and Draftkings have no sweat bets.
Devone Achane over 23.5 rec yards
- Catch and Dash: With the expectation of catching 3 to 4 balls, Achane is like a skilled fisherman, ready to reel in those passes. Once he gets his hands on the ball, he's got the potential to turn a simple catch into a highlight reel moment.
- Breakaway Potential: Achane has that electrifying ability to break free at any moment. It's like he's got a turbo button, ready to zoom past defenders and leave them in the dust.
- Yardage Overdrive: With the likelihood of surpassing 30 yards, Achane is like a sprinter at the starting line, just waiting for the gun to go off. Once he gets going, there's no stopping him from racking up those yards.
Tyreek Hill over 53.5 yards
- Unbelievably Low Line: Seeing Tyreek Hill's line at 53.5 yards is like spotting a unicorn in your backyard. It's rare and almost too good to be true! Hill is known for his explosive plays, and this line is just begging to be shattered.
- Slant to the House: Hill's ability to take a simple slant route and turn it into an 80-yard touchdown is like watching a magician pull a rabbit out of a hat. He's got the speed and agility to leave defenders grasping at air.
- QB Confidence: With Huntley at the helm, there's a sense of stability compared to Skyler Thompson. It's like having a seasoned pilot in the cockpit, ready to navigate the skies and deliver those passes to Hill.
- Catch Count: Expecting Hill to catch 5 to 7 balls is like betting on a squirrel to find acorns. He's got the hands and the route-running skills to be a constant target, and once he gets the ball, he's ready to make magic happen.
Jaymir Gibbs over 76.5 rush/rec yards ✅
- Shootout Scenario: In a game that feels like a shootout, Gibbs is like a cowboy ready to draw. When the points start flying, you can bet he'll be right in the thick of the action, racking up yards both on the ground and through the air.
- Dual Threat: Gibbs is the epitome of a dual-threat player, capable of making big plays as both a runner and a receiver. It's like having a Swiss Army knife on the field—versatile and always ready for action.
- Catch Count: With the expectation of catching 3 or more balls, Gibbs is like a magnet for the football. Once he gets those receptions, he's got the ability to turn them into significant yardage, adding to his total.
- Rushing Potential: Running for over 52 yards is well within Gibbs' wheelhouse. He's like a gazelle, ready to sprint past defenders and leave them wondering what just happened.
DK Metcalf over 62.5 yards ✅
- Shootout Scenario: In a game that promises to be a shootout, Metcalf is like a gunslinger ready to make his mark. When the scoreboard starts lighting up, you can bet he'll be right in the mix, hauling in those yards.
- Comeback Mode: With the likelihood of being down, the Seahawks will be in comeback mode, and Metcalf is their go-to guy. It's like having a superhero on standby, ready to swoop in and save the day with his big plays.
- Big Play Machine: Metcalf is known for hitting a big play every game. It's like clockwork—just when you think the defense has him contained, he breaks free for a massive gain, leaving defenders in his wake.
- Physical Presence: With his size and speed, Metcalf is like a freight train on the field. Once he gets going, he stops from racking up those yards and surpassing the line.
Seattle vs Detroit over 46.5 points ✅
- Shootout Alert: This matchup has all the makings of a classic shootout, like two gunslingers facing off at high noon. Both teams have explosive offenses and are ready to light up the scoreboard.
- Offensive Firepower: With playmakers on both sides, it's like watching a fireworks display—each team trying to outdo the other with dazzling plays. Expect touchdowns to be as frequent as popcorn at a movie theater.
- Defensive Vulnerabilities: Both defenses have shown their soft spots, making it likely that the offenses will have plenty of opportunities to capitalize. It's like trying to keep water in a sieve—points are bound to slip through.
- 28-24 Scenario: A 28-24 type of game is well within reach, and that scoreline alone would push the total over 46.5 points. It's like betting on a horse race where both horses are neck and neck, each pushing the other to go faster.
Year To Date For Best Bets
Win: 30
Loss: 23
Total: 53
57% 🤑 (updated after MONDAY week 4 games)
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PRIZEPICKS ENTRIES You Can Copy
- Mix and match as you see fit. I like 6-man entries but if you want to do 2-6 it's your money.
- I will do more so check back on the site. I will say ("update" on the main title)
https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=310bf0a3769c2fbad5c2f3dce18c2336
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DraftKings Lineups Or Bets
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- No bets yet for DK
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FANDUEL Lineups Or Bets
- I rarely play heads-up games on Fanduel but always do the main slate on Saturday or Sunday.
Check out my NFL lineup on FanDuel. Can you build a better team?
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Your NFL Sensei,
Ray
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Ray Morrison is a seasoned pro in the fantasy sports arena, having played since 1994. As a professional DFS and fantasy football player, he's mastered the art of single-entry tournaments, making him a formidable competitor.
Ray is also the visionary behind SwagScale, a platform that combines his strategic insights with a flair, offering sports enthusiasts a private community to enjoy sports.
Beyond the fantasy field, Ray holds a Juris Doctor degree from John Marshall Law School, adding a strategic edge to his gameplay. His legal insight, along with his playing Football, Basketball, and Baseball his entire life and nearly three decades of fantasy experience, make him a respected figure in the community.
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