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NFL Week 4: Bills vs Ravens & More!

• Sports Picks That Save You Time, Give You Insight, and Make You Money!

• Prizepicks, Fanduel, DraftKings, and Underdog entries below
• EXPERT PICKS: Confidence and Picks Against Spread
• BEST BETS With Detailed Breakdown
• PLAYER PROPS Below Too 👇
• You can directly email us with start/sit, trade & betting questions!
• Subscribe Now (We killed it in weeks 2 and 3 with our props)
• I will probably update this on Thursday.
• 💰 57% 🤑 ON PLAYER PROPS so far!
• Caleb Williams over .5 pass yards
• Patrick Mahomes over .5 pass Underdog

• Lines will be based on best bets if we use them since lines change constantly.

EXPERT PICKS: Money Line

EXPERT PICKS: Pick 6 Spreads

Ray's Picks Against The Spread For Every Game

NFL Player Props For THURSDAY WEEK 4

You can use our picks as a guide for any site you play on. A bunch of people email me all the time asking us about different lines on what they play on so feel free to email us at ray@swagscale.com We will get back to you as soon as possible.

QB's

• Caleb Williams over .5 pass yards ✅
• Brock Purdy over 7.5 rush ✅
• Josh Allen over 33.5 rush ❌
• C.J. Stroud over 266 pass ✅
• Justin Fields over 39.5 rush ✅
• Bo Nix over 26.5 rush ❌

RB'S

• Breece Hall over 27.5 rec yards ❌
• Jordan Mason over 84.5 rush ✅
• Saquan Barkley over rush/rec TD ❌
• Saquan Barkley over 77.5 rush ✅
• Chuba Hubbard over 16.5 rec ✅
• Chuba Hubbard over 61.5 rush ✅
• Najee Harris over 66.5 rush ❌
• Zach Moss over 10.5 rec yards ✅
• Brian Robinson Jr. over 16.5 rec yards ❌
• Jonathan Taylor over 11.5 rec yards ✅
• Aaron Jones over 82.5 rush/rec yards ✅
• James Cook over 77.5 rush+rec ❌

WIDES

• Marvin Harrison over 66.5 rec yards ❌
• Brandon Aiyuk over 64.5 yards ❌
• Rashee Rice over 75.5 yards REBOOT
• Dionte Johnson over 64.5 yards ✅
• Dionte Johnson over 5.5 ✅
• George Pickens over 50.5 yards ✅
• DJ Moore over 60.5 yards ❌
• Zay Flowers over 51.5 yards ❌
• Chris Godwin over 64.5 yards ✅
• Drake London over 59.5 yards ✅
• Nico Collins over 81.5 ✅
• Stefon Diggs over 5.5 catches ❌
• Xavier Worthy over .5 rush yards ❌
• Jayden Reed over 3.5 reception ✅
• Jayden reed over 47.5 yards ✅
• Justin Jefferson over 79.5 yards ✅
• Rashid Shaheed over 46.5  ✅

TE's

• Brock Bowers over 39.5 yards (its now 52 still like it) ❌
• Zach Ertz over 29.5 yards ❌
• Tyler Conklin over 23.5 yards ❌
• Dallas Goedert over 52.5 yards ✅
• Dalton Kincaid over 37.5 yards ✅

KICKERS

• Harrison Butker over 1.5 fg ❌
• Chris Boswell over 1.5 fg ❌

Special

• T.J. Watt over.25 sacks (please, dude is good for 1 a game) ❌

Year To Date For PLAYER PROPS 56% 🤑

Win: 89

Loss: 66

Total: 155

57% 🤑

• 50% to 54%: This is considered average. Achieving a win rate in this range means you're breaking even or making slight profits, depending on the odds and the vig (the bookmaker's cut).
• 55% to 60%: This is considered good. Bettors with this win percentage usually profit, assuming they're betting with consistent stakes and managing their bankroll effectively.
• 60% and above: This is considered excellent. Achieving this win rate consistently is challenging and typically indicates high expertise or an effective betting strategy.

BEST BETS, PRIZEPICKS, FANDUEL, DRAFTKINGS, UNDERDOG ENTRIES BELOW👇👇👇👇👇👇

BEST BETS FOR SUNDAY WEEK 4

• I will do straight bets for all of these and usually do round robins (2x2 parlays)
• I mix and match these in Prizepicks and Underdog Entries.
• Fanduel and Draftkings have no sweat bets.

Nico Collins over 81.5 yards ✅

• Consistency is Key: Nico Collins has been a yardage machine, racking up over 80 yards in 7 straight healthy regular-season games. It's like he's allergic to anything less than 80!
• Man Defense Slayer: When it comes to man defenses, Nico is like a kid in a candy store. He just can't help but gobble up those yards. His ability to find space and exploit matchups is like watching a master chef at work.
• No Tank Dell, No Problem: With Tank Dell out of the picture, Nico Collins is the main course on the menu. Expect him to be the go-to guy, soaking up all those targets like a sponge.

George Pickens over 53.5 yards (he has been on every week and cashed every week) ✅

• Tough Cookie: George Pickens has been facing some of the toughest cornerbacks week in and week out, and yet, he still manages to go over the yardage line. It's like he's playing a game of "How Tough Can You Be?" and winning every round!
• Target Magnet: Leading the Pittsburgh Steelers with a 24% target share, Pickens is like a magnet for the football. If the ball were a puppy, he'd be the one with all the treats.
• Air Yard King: With a whopping 49.9% air yards share, Pickens is practically the air traffic controller of the Steelers' offense. He's got more air miles than a frequent flyer!
• Cover 3 Conqueror: The Indianapolis Colts deploy the fifth-highest rate of Cover 3 defense, which plays right into Pickens' hands. He's like a chess master, always a few moves ahead, ready to exploit those zones.

Dionte Johnson Over 64.5 yards ✅

• Cincinnati's Defense: Swiss Cheese Edition: The Bengals' defense has been getting shredded like a block of cheddar at a cheese festival. If defenses were doors, Cincinnati's would be a revolving one, and Diontae Johnson is ready to waltz right through.
• Target Monster: In his first game with Dalton, Johnson was targeted 13 times. That's like being the most popular kid in school! If targets were candy, he'd have a sweet tooth.
• Catch Machine: With the expectation of catching at least 6 balls, Johnson is like a vacuum cleaner on the field, sucking up passes with ease. He's got hands like glue, and once that ball's in his grasp, it's not going anywhere.

Jonathan Taylor over 11.5 rec yards ✅

• Catch and Dash: Jonathan Taylor is not just about running through defenses; he's also adept at catching those short passes and turning them into something more. Think of him as a magician, turning simple receptions into yardage gold.
• Three's a Charm: With the likelihood of catching at least three passes, Taylor is like a reliable friend who always shows up when you need them. If receptions were party invites, he'd be the life of the party!
• Yardage Overdrive: Expecting him to go over 20 yards is like betting on a race car to hit top speed. Once Taylor gets the ball in his hands, he's ready to shift gears and leave defenders in the dust.

Brian Robinson Jr over 16.5 rec yards ❌

• Opportunity Knocks: With Austin Ekeler out of the picture, Robinson is stepping up to the plate. It's like being handed the keys to the candy store—he's ready to make the most of it!
• Catch Count: Expecting him to snag 3 to 5 balls is like betting on a cat to land on its feet. Robinson's got the skills to reel in those passes, and he's not about to let them slip through his fingers.
• Yardage Potential: With the potential to rack up around 30 yards, Robinson is like a sprinter ready to burst out of the blocks. Once he catches that ball, he's off to the races, leaving defenders wondering where he went.

Jayden Reed over 47.5 rec yards ✅

• Love is in the Air: With Love back in action, it's time for Reed to shine. Think of it as a dynamic duo reunion, like Batman and Robin, ready to take on the field together.
• Giddy Up, Reed: With the expectation that Reed will gallop past 70 yards, he's like a thoroughbred ready to race. Once he gets going, there's no holding him back—he's off to the races!
• Target Connection: Reed's connection with Love is like peanut butter and jelly—just meant to be. When Love's throwing, you can bet Reed will be there to catch those passes and turn them into significant yardage.

Tyler Conklin over 23.5 yards ❌

• Surtain's Shadow: With Patrick Surtain likely shadowing Garrett Wilson, it's like having a bouncer at the club entrance. This means more opportunities for Conklin to sneak in and steal the spotlight, as targets get funneled his way.
• Tight End Feast: Denver's defense has been as generous as a grandma at Thanksgiving when it comes to giving up yards to tight ends. Conklin is ready to grab a plate and help himself to some yardage.
• Reliable Target: With the potential for increased targets, Conklin is like a trusty Swiss Army knife—always ready and reliable. Once he gets those passes, he's sure to make the most of them and rack up the yards.

GB -2.5 ❌

• Home Sweet Home: Green Bay is playing at Lambeau Field, which is like their cozy living room. The Packers are ready to defend their turf, and the home crowd is sure to be the wind beneath their wings—or should I say, the cheese on their nachos?
• Love's Return: With Jordan Love back in action, it's like the Packers have their favorite quarterback back in the driver's seat. He's ready to steer the team to victory, and with him at the helm, Green Bay's offense is primed to shine.
• Minnesota's Time to Stumble: The Vikings have been riding high, but every roller coaster has its dips. It's time for Minnesota to hit a bump in the road and lose by 3 or more points, giving Green Bay the cover.

Chicago -2.5 ✅

• Home Field Advantage: The Bears are playing at Soldier Field, and with you in the stands, it's like having an extra player on the field! The home crowd will be roaring, and the Bears will be ready to put on a show just for you.
• Rams' Missing Pieces: With the Rams missing key players like Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, it's like they're trying to bake a cake without sugar and flour. The Bears' defense is ready to take advantage of this and make it a tough day for the Rams' offense.
• Defensive Prowess: The Bears' defense is like a fortress, ready to stand strong and keep the Rams at bay. They're poised to make big plays and keep the Rams from gaining any momentum.
• This is the type of game Bears win by 3 or more. Caleb will play better.

Year To Date For Best Bets

Win: 27

Loss: 21

Total: 48

56% 🤑 (updated)

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PRIZEPICKS ENTRIES You Can Copy

• Mix and match as you see fit. I like 6-man entries but if you want to do 2-6 it's your money.
• I will do more so check back on the site. I will say ("update" on the main title)

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=7458f7c8f3b1f997ee15fc53d805ae0c

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=4175f48b7b8652eb69cebe5dd5bc7ff5

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=00afc467e932aca37c871625753639a8

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=68d62fbbfb01f6b3303a505ecf74e60a

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=919cd1d07800e982bc2477e39bb04665

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=6c57bec77e1260dfec92459b3a4f8570

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=f13f6ad4cefdd4769135f1f0cc1d1712

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=49b857f7b2b63098bb5007792b330c8e

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=2362fbb8b4cb73631a4c0a537ebec2ff

UNDERDOG, FANDUEL, DraftKings BELOW. 👇👇

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DraftKings Lineups Or Bets

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• No bets yet for DK

🐶🐶UNDERDOG ENTRIES

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FANDUEL Lineups Or Bets

• I rarely play heads-up games on Fanduel but always do the main slate on Saturday or Sunday.

Check out my NFL lineup on FanDuel. Can you build a better team?
https://www.fanduel.com/?invitedby=warchild&cnl=masul&utm_campaign=User%20Referral&utm_medium=iOS&utm_source=Lineup%20Share

NFL Football Weather UPDATES

The Best guy for Current NFL, MLB, NCAAF weather is Kevin Roth. Follow him here 👉🏻 https://twitter.com/KevinRothWx

Your NFL Sensei,

Ray

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Ray Morrison is a seasoned pro in the fantasy sports arena, having played since 1994. As a professional DFS and fantasy football player, he's mastered the art of single-entry tournaments, making him a formidable competitor.

Ray is also the visionary behind SwagScale, a platform that combines his strategic insights with a flair, offering sports enthusiasts a private community to enjoy sports.

Beyond the fantasy field, Ray holds a Juris Doctor degree from John Marshall Law School, adding a strategic edge to his gameplay. His legal insight, along with his playing Football, Basketball, and Baseball his entire life and nearly three decades of fantasy experience, make him a respected figure in the community.

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