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NFL TNF Week 4: Dallas vs Giants!

  • Sports Picks That Save You Time, Give You Insight, and Make You Money!
  • Prizepicks, Fanduel, DraftKings, and Underdog entries below
  • EXPERT PICKS: Confidence and Picks Against Spread
  • BEST BETS With Detailed Breakdown
  • PLAYER PROPS Below Too 👇
  • You can Email us for start/sit, trade & betting questions directly!
  • Subscribe Now (We killed it in weeks 2 and 3 with our props)
  • I will probably update this on Thursday.
  • RJ HARVEY (UCF) over 77.5 rush yards (special ends Thursday) Prizepicks


  • Lines will be based on best bets if we use them since lines change constantly.

EXPERT PICKS: Money Line

  • Staff Picks will be out Friday since waiting on injury news.

Ray: DALLAS ✅

Turtle: DALLAS ✅

Ant-Man: DALLAS ✅

POPS: DALLAS ✅


EXPERT PICKS: Pick 6 Spreads

Ray: Dallas -4.5 ✅

  • Cowboys' Strength Against Weaker Teams: Dallas has a knack for dominating teams that are not considered top-tier, and the Giants fit that bill despite their recent win over the Browns.
  • Dak Prescott's Advantage: Dak Prescott is poised to exploit the Giants' vulnerable secondary, potentially leading to a high-scoring game for Dallas.
  • Defensive Pressure: Dallas' defense is expected to put significant pressure on Daniel Jones, potentially disrupting the Giants' offensive rhythm.
  • Giants' Inconsistency: The Giants, despite their occasional victories, often struggle against teams with strong offensive and defensive plays, like the Cowboys.
  • High Expectations for Dak: With Dak in good form, there's an expectation for him to have a standout performance against the Giants secondary.


Ray's Picks Against The Spread For Every Game

  • This will be out on Friday.

  • DALLAS -4.5 Thursday Night ✅

NFL Player Props For THURSDAY WEEK 4

You can use our picks as a guide for any site you play on. A bunch of people email me all the time asking us about different lines on what they play on so feel free to email us at ray@swagscale.com We will get back to you as soon as possible.

QB's

  • Dak over 7.5 rush yards

RB'S

  • Zeke Elliot over 28.5 rush yards
  • Rico Dowdle over 39.5 yards

WIDES

  • Ceedee Lamb over 59.5 yards (TACO)
  • Ceedee Lamb over 81.5 rec yards
  • Ceedee Lamb TD
  • Malik Nabers over 70 rec yards
  • Wendell Robinson over 36.5 yards
  • Jalen Tolbert over 29.5 rec yards

TE's

  • Jake Ferguson over 41.5 yards

KICKERS

  • Brandon Aubrey over 1.5 fg

Special

  • DeMarcus Lawrence over .25 sacks
  • Dexter Lawrence over .25 sacks


Year To Date For PLAYER PROPS 56% 🤑

Win: 80

Loss: 62

Total: 142

56%
  • 50% to 54%: This is considered average. Achieving a win rate in this range means you're breaking even or making slight profits, depending on the odds and the vig (the bookmaker's cut).
  • 55% to 60%: This is considered good. Bettors with this win percentage usually profit, assuming they're betting with consistent stakes and managing their bankroll effectively.
  • 60% and above: This is considered excellent. Achieving this win rate consistently is challenging and typically indicates high expertise or an effective betting strategy.

BEST BETS, PRIZEPICKS, FANDUEL, DRAFTKINGS, UNDERDOG ENTRIES BELOW👇👇👇👇👇👇

BEST BETS FOR THURSDAY WEEK 4

  • I will do straight bets for all of these and usually do round robins (2x2 parlays)
  • I mix and match these in Prizepicks and Underdog Entries.
  • Fanduel and Draftkings have no sweat bets.

Rico Dowdle over 39.5 rush yards ✅
  • Talent Spotlight: Rico Dowdle is arguably the most talented running back on the Cowboys' roster, and he's expected to shine in this matchup.
  • Projected Workload: With a projection of at least 10 carries, Dowdle is set to have ample opportunities to rack up rushing yards.
  • Light Defensive Boxes: The Giants are likely to focus on defending against the pass, which should leave Dowdle facing lighter defensive fronts, giving him more room to run.
  • Giants' Rushing Defense: The Giants have been allowing over 5 yards per carry, which bodes well for Dowdle to surpass the 39.5-yard mark.
  • Positive Game Script: In a game where Dallas is expected to lead, the game script should favor more rushing attempts, increasing Dowdle's chances of hitting the over.

Ceedee Lamb Anytime TD ✅
  • Exploiting the Giants' Secondary: CeeDee Lamb is primed to take advantage of the Giants' secondary, especially with the potential absence of Andru Phillips, their standout defensive back.
  • Favorable Matchup: Lamb is expected to be primarily matched against CB Deonte Banks, who has had difficulties containing top wide receivers, making this a favorable matchup for Lamb.
  • Dallas' Redemption Game: After two tough losses, Dallas is eager for a statement win in primetime, and Lamb is likely to be a key target for Dak Prescott in achieving that.
  • Red Zone Target: With Prescott likely to look for Lamb in the red zone, the odds of him scoring are significantly heightened.
  • Potential for Multiple Touchdowns: Given the matchup and game context, a sprinkle on Lamb scoring two touchdowns at attractive odds could be a worthwhile gamble.


Year To Date For Best Bets

Win: 20

Loss: 17

Total: 37

54%

* If you don't have a Prizepicks or Underdog account click this link and sign up so you get the best promo with them and they give me a small commission. It helps us stay in business to help you!

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PRIZEPICKS ENTRIES You Can Copy

  • Mix and match as you see fit. I like 6-man entries but if you want to do 2-6 it's your money.
  • I will do more so check back on the site. I will say ("update" on the main title)

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=431009f2cf493984cac87398f8296291

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=d7e4963936cb7732977bffefeb1f8cac

Got screwed on this taco but I like these plays

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=aa2ebc590176a740e5330956f2a4d33f

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=fb93b06233225b607a9e98e7e53da1d7

https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=e9691a6eaa534f75c2050affcebcd105


UNDERDOG, FANDUEL, DraftKings BELOW. 👇👇

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DraftKings Lineups Or Bets

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  • No SWEAT BET:

LAMB over 100+/Dal -3/DOWDLE over 40 rush yds/NABERS over 80 = +1400

  • DAL Moneyline/NABERS over 50+/LAMB over 70/LAMB TD =+345


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FANDUEL Lineups Or Bets

  • I rarely play heads-up games on Fanduel but always do the main slate on Saturday or Sunday.
  • Same game parlay no sweat bet

https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.444404195&selectionId[0]=50189&marketId[1]=42.449950306&selectionId[1]=60906123&marketId[2]=42.449950308&selectionId[2]=40856377&marketId[3]=42.449950309&selectionId[3]=40905600&marketId[4]=42.449950310&selectionId[4]=40856415&marketId[5]=42.449950311&selectionId[5]=49613262&marketId[6]=42.449950312&selectionId[6]=48584557&marketId[7]=42.449950313&selectionId[7]=40856362&marketId[8]=42.449950318&selectionId[8]=48400253&shareBetId=124470_1895778935


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Your NFL Sensei,

Ray


ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Ray Morrison is a seasoned pro in the fantasy sports arena, having played since 1994. As a professional DFS and fantasy football player, he's mastered the art of single-entry tournaments, making him a formidable competitor.

Ray is also the visionary behind SwagScale, a platform that combines his strategic insights with a flair, offering sports enthusiasts a private community to enjoy sports.

Beyond the fantasy field, Ray holds a Juris Doctor degree from John Marshall Law School, adding a strategic edge to his gameplay. His legal acumen, along with his playing Football, Basketball, and Baseball his entire life and nearly three decades of fantasy experience, make him a respected figure in the community.



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