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NCAA FOOTBALL Week 5: Georgia vs Alabama & More!
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- Prizepicks, Fanduel, and Underdog entries below
- EXPERT PICKS
- BEST BETS With Detailed Breakdown
- PLAYER PROPS Below Too 👇
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- 💰66% NCAA PROPS/52% BEST BETS FOR NCAA SO FAR! 🤑
- 6-2 on props last night in NCAA.
- updated a prizepick entry
EXPERT PICKS
- Lines will be based on best bets if we use them since lines change constantly
NCAA PLAYER PROPS
QB's
- Jalen Milroe (ala) over 1.5 pass td
- Carson Beck (GA) over 8.5 rush yards
- Josh Hoover (TCU) over 314 pass
- Noah Fifita (AZ) Over 239.5 pass yards *BEST BET
- Dillon Gabriel (ORE) over 293.5 pass yards
- Ethan Garbers (UCLA) over 187.5 pass
- Behren Morton (TT) over 251 pass yards
- Riley Leonard (ND) over 164.5 pass yards * BEST BET
RB'S
- RJ Harvey over 77.5 rush yards (special) prizepicks
- Kobe Hudson (UCF) over 70.5 yards
- T.J. Harden (UCLA) over 41.5 rush yards *BEST BET
WIDES
- Travis Hunter (col) over 97.5 yards
- Ryan Williams (ala) over49.5 rec yards
- Tetairoa McMillan (az) over 100.5 yards
- Evan Stewart (org) over 46.5 yards *BEST BET
TE:
- none
SPECIALS:
- look at first prizepicks entry
Year To Date For PROPS
Win: 35
Loss: 18
Total: 53
66% 🤑
BEST BETS
Marshall -4 ✅
- Favorable Matchup: Marshall faces Western Michigan's weak defense, which allows 38.3 ppg, providing a potential offensive breakthrough for Marshall.
- Common Opponent Edge: Despite both teams losing to Ohio State, Marshall showed better performance in time of possession, indicating potential resilience.
- Injuries Impact: Western Michigan's top WR Kenneth Womack remains out, limiting their offensive capabilities further.
- Line Movement: The line drop from -230 suggests value on Marshall at -4, given the defensive mismatch and injury factors.
TCU/KANSAS over 59.5 ✅
- Defensive Struggles: TCU's defense has been allowing an average of 42.3 ppg against FBS opponents, indicating a high-scoring potential.
- Rushing Advantage: Kansas' Neal could exploit TCU's weak run defense, which allows 176.8 ypg, contributing to the over.
- Venue Factor: Kansas' first game at Arrowhead Stadium might not draw a large crowd, possibly impacting defensive intensity.
- Quarterback Edge: TCU's superior quarterback play could drive scoring, supporting the over 59.5.
Lou/ND under 46.5
- Defensive Strength: Both teams rank in the top-15 nationally in scoring defense, each allowing less than 14.0 ppg, suggesting a low-scoring game.
- Ground Game Strategy: Notre Dame aims to control the game on the ground, keeping the clock running and limiting possessions, favoring the under.
- Offensive Doubts: There's more trust in the defenses than the offenses, supporting a lower-scoring outcome under 46.5.
Colorado +15.5 ✅
- Star Players Impact: Colorado boasts top talents like Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter, enhancing their competitiveness.
- Close Matchup Potential: Teams often overextend against Colorado, suggesting a closer game than the +15.5 spread indicates.
- Big 12 Stakes: As a significant Big 12 matchup, expect heightened performance from Colorado to keep it tight.
- Balanced Opposition: While UCF has strong players like RJ Harvey and KJ Jefferson, Colorado's key players can offset their impact, supporting a closer scoreline.
Alabama +1.5 ✅
- Third-Down Superiority: Alabama's strong third-down offense and defense give them a tactical edge over Georgia.
- Motivation Factor: Kalen DeBoer's team is eager to end Georgia's 42-game regular-season winning streak, adding extra motivation.
- Georgia's ATS Struggles: The Bulldogs' recent -38.5 ATS margin on the road suggests vulnerability.
- DeBoer's Underdog Success: With a 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS record as an underdog, DeBoer's history supports Alabama's potential to cover +1.5.
- Homefield: Just feels like Georgia is going to lose this one
FSU/SMU over47 ✅
- I think both defenses suck and this should easily go over 47. I could see over 60 in this game even though the FSU offense blows.
Arizona vs Utah over 47.5
- Scoring Potential: Both Arizona and Utah have strong offensive capabilities, suggesting a high-scoring game.
- High Total Projection: With an expected game total in the 60s, over 47.5 offers value.
- Offensive Matchup: The offensive strengths of both teams could lead to frequent scoring opportunities, supporting the over.
Noah Fifita over 239.5 pass yards
- The only way they can hang in this game is to throw a lot.
Riley Leonard (ND) over 164.5 pass yards
- I got him for over 215.
Year To Date For Best Bets
Win: 19
Loss: 18
Total: 37
52%
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PRIZEPICKS ENTRIES You Can Copy
- Mix and match as you see fit. I like 6-man entries but if you want to do 2-6 it's your money.
- I will do more so check back on the site. I will say ("update" on main title)
- I will update Prizepicks, Draftkings & Fanduel Bets probably Saturday so check back on those.
https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=68d62fbbfb01f6b3303a505ecf74e60a
https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=2ac212a61a338f7f084fe81ceb505841
https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=e1c80ac18f3a13e2915ad0cfe2d25dd7
UNDERDOG, FANDUEL, DraftKings BELOW
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NCAA Football Weather UPDATES
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Ray Morrison is a seasoned pro in the fantasy sports arena, having played since 1994. As a professional DFS and fantasy football player, he's mastered the art of single-entry tournaments, making him a formidable competitor.
Ray is also the visionary behind SwagScale, a platform that combines his strategic insights with a flair, offering sports enthusiasts a private community to enjoy sports.
Beyond the fantasy field, Ray holds a Juris Doctor degree from John Marshall Law School, adding a strategic edge to his gameplay. His legal acumen, along with his playing Football, Basketball, and Baseball his entire life and nearly three decades of fantasy experience, make him a respected figure in the community.
Your NCAA FOOTBALL GURU,
- 50% to 54%: This is considered average. Achieving a win rate in this range means you're breaking even or making slight profits, depending on the odds and the vig (the bookmaker's cut).
- 55% to 60%: This is considered good. Bettors with this win percentage usually profit, assuming they're betting with consistent stakes and managing their bankroll effectively.
- 60% and above: This is considered excellent. Achieving this win rate consistently is challenging and typically indicates high expertise or an effective betting strategy.
MLB Player Props for THURSDAY(9/26)
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