NCAA FOOTBALL Week 2 (Texas vs Michigan) and More! (updated 8:10 PM)

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KC -2.5 ✅

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NCAA FOOTBALL Week 2 (Texas vs Michigan) and More!

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• BEST BETS With Detailed Breakdown
• PLAYER PROPS Below Too 👇

• Lines will be based on best bets if we use them since lines change constantly.

EXPERT PICKS

Take it easy the first week of betting on NCAA football. This initial week is crucial for observing how teams integrate new players and adapt to new coaches.

Watch the games closely to understand team dynamics and performance. Go light on your bets this week; as the season progresses and you gain insights into the players and strategies, you can approach betting more aggressively. Patience now will pay off later!

BEST BETS

• I will do straight bets for all of these and usually do round robins (2x2 parlays)

Michigan +7.5

• Elite Defense: Michigan's defense is still top-notch, capable of stifling opponents and keeping the game close. Their ability to create turnovers and pressure the quarterback is a game-changer.
• Home Field Advantage: Playing at home gives the Wolverines a significant edge. The energy of the home crowd can boost performance and intimidate the opposition.
• Offensive Potential: While the offense was less than stellar last week, there's potential for improvement. They have the talent and coaching to make the necessary adjustments.
• Overreaction to Last Week: The line seems to be an overreaction to last week's performance. One bad game doesn't define a season, and Michigan has shown resilience in bouncing back.
• Underdog Value: Getting +7.5 points provides a cushion. Even if Michigan doesn't win outright, they have a good chance to cover the spread in a competitive matchup.
• Historical Performance: Historically, Michigan has performed well in similar situations, often exceeding expectations when doubted.
• Motivation and Pride: The team is likely motivated to prove doubters wrong and restore confidence, which can lead to a strong performance.

Boise St vs Oregon over 60.5 ✅

• Offensive Potential: Both teams can rack up yards and points. Oregon gained nearly 500 yards last game, and Boise State scored 56 against Georgia Southern.
• Positive Regression: Oregon's low scoring despite high yardage suggests they're due for a big scoring game.
• Defensive Vulnerability: Boise State's defense allowed 45 points last week, making them ripe for Oregon's attack.
• High-Scoring History: Both teams are known for participating in shootouts, making the over a strong play.
• Projected Scoreline: With a predicted score of Oregon 47, Boise State 24, the over 60.5 looks promising.
• Confidence in Play: Risking two units shows strong belief in this high-scoring affair.

Get ready for a points bonanza! 🏈🎉

KU vs Illinois over 55.5

• Last Year's Close Call: The previous matchup ended with a total of 57 points, just over the current line of 55.5, showing these teams can hit the over.
• Offensive Fireworks: Kansas put up 34 points in the first half last week and could have scored more if they hadn't eased up. Their offense is explosive and ready to light up the scoreboard.
• Illinois' Scoring Ability: Similarly, Illinois scored 31 points in the first half of their last game and cruised to a 45-0 victory. They have the firepower to contribute significantly to the total.
• Potential for High Scoring: Both teams demonstrated they can score quickly and often, making the over a strong play.
• Game Flow: With both teams likely to keep their foot on the gas, expect a fast-paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities.

BYU vs SMU over 55.5

• High-Powered SMU Offense: SMU's offense is relentless and known for exploiting defensive weaknesses, which could lead to a high-scoring game.
• BYU's Defensive Uncertainty: With lingering uncertainties in BYU's defensive positions, SMU's potent offense is likely to capitalize and put up significant points.
• BYU's Scoring Capability: Despite past struggles, BYU has the ability to score, adding to the potential for a high total score.
• SMU's Recent Performance: The Mustangs' recent games, including a warm-up against Houston Christian, suggest they're ready to unleash their full offensive potential.
• Game Dynamics: The combination of SMU's offensive prowess and BYU's scoring potential sets the stage for a high-scoring affair, making the over 55.5 points a likely outcome.

Iowa -2.5 (I Played football with the offense cordinator and he is a very good offensive mind and will be more aggressive than Iowa's offenses in the past)

• Cade McNamara's Performance: McNamara's impressive stats, throwing for 250 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions, highlight a strong offensive performance that can lead Iowa to cover the spread.
• Kirk Ferentz's Return: With head coach Kirk Ferentz back on the sidelines, Iowa may benefit from his leadership and strategic adjustments, potentially boosting their performance.
• Iowa State's Average Showing: Iowa State's modest 21-3 win over North Dakota suggests they might struggle against a more formidable opponent like Iowa.
• Potential Loss of Caleb Bacon: The possible injury to Iowa State's defensive star, Caleb Bacon, could weaken their defense, giving Iowa an edge in exploiting those gaps.
• Matt Campbell's Record Against Iowa: With a 1-6 record against Iowa, Cyclones coach Matt Campbell has historically struggled, indicating a potential advantage for Iowa.
• Momentum and Confidence: Iowa's recent performance and the return of their head coach could provide the momentum and confidence needed to cover the -2.5 spread.

Houston vs Oklahoma over 50.5 points

• Oklahoma's Scoring Potential: Oklahoma has the capability to score 50 points on their own, showcasing a high-powered offense that can dominate the scoreboard.
• Houston's Struggles: Houston's lackluster performance in their first game, with only 259 total yards, suggests they may struggle to keep up, but even a few points from them could push the total over.
• Oklahoma's Sneaky Strength: As a sneaky good team in the SEC, Oklahoma's offense is poised to exploit any weaknesses in Houston's defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring game.
• Houston's Incompetence Under Willie Fritz: The Cougars' struggles in Willie Fritz's first season, especially against UNLV, indicate potential vulnerabilities that Oklahoma can capitalize on.
• Projected Dominance: With Oklahoma's defense expected to dominate and a prediction of the Sooners winning by 30+ points at home, the game is likely to see a high total score.
• Over Four Touchdowns: Your expectation that the number settles at over four touchdowns aligns with the potential for Oklahoma to cover the majority of the over on their own.

Year To Date For Best Bets

Win: 6

Loss: 4

Total: 10

60% 🤑

NCAA PLAYER PROPS

QB's

• Preston Stone (smu) over 199 pass yards (my fav) REBOOT
• Darian Mensah (tulane) over 150 pass✅
• Haynes King (gt) over 190 pass ✅
• Cade McNamara (Iowa) over 168.5 pass FIRE THE HEAD COACH
• KJ Jefferson (ucf) over 184.5 pass
• Dylan Raiola (neb) over 236.5 pass
• Davis Warren (mich) over 145 pass✅
• Dequan Finn (bay) over 199 pass Terrible
• Nico Iamaleava (tenn) over 257.5 pass
• Dillon Gabriel (oreg) over 27.5 fantasy ✅

RB'S

• Desmond Reid (pit) over 86.5 rush✅
• Ollie Gordon (okst) over 19 rec yards✅
• Ja'Quinden Jackson (ark) over 60.5 rush ✅

WIDES

• Isaiah Bond (tex) over 57.5 rec yards
• Ashtyn Hawkins (bay) over 37.5 yards played running back
• Squirrel White (ten) over 50 yards✅
• Evan Stewart (oreg) over 50 yards✅

Year To Date For PROPS

Win: 16

Loss: 8

Total: 24

67% 🤑

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PRIZEPICKS ENTRIES You Can Copy

• Mix and match as you see fit. I like 6-man entries but if you want to do 2-6 it's your money.
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DraftKings Lineups Or Bets

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• parlay (smu over 55.5/colorado over 56/oregon over 60.5/oklahoma over 50/michigan +14) +2208

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FANDUEL Lineups Or Bets

• I won't do college fantasy lineups but I will do multiple NFL ones each week.

NCAA Football Weather UPDATES

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Ray Morrison is a seasoned pro in the fantasy sports arena, having played since 1994. As a professional DFS and fantasy football player, he's mastered the art of single-entry tournaments, making him a formidable competitor.

Ray is also the visionary behind SwagScale, a platform that combines his strategic insights with a flair, offering sports enthusiasts a private community to enjoy sports.

Beyond the fantasy field, Ray holds a Juris Doctor degree from John Marshall Law School, adding a strategic edge to his gameplay. His legal acumen, along with his playing Football, Basketball, and Baseball his entire life and nearly three decades of fantasy experience, make him a respected figure in the community.

Your NCAA FOOTBALL GURU,

Ray

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