NCAA FOOTBALL Week 1 Sat-Mon (USC vs LSU) and More! (updated)

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NCAA FOOTBALL Week 1 Sat-Mon (USC vs LSU) and More!

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• Prizepicks, Fanduel, and Underdog entries below
• EXPERT PICKS
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• PLAYER PROPS Below Too 👇
• Jalen Milroy over .5 pass yards discount prizepicks ✅
• Jalen Milroy .5 on underdog too.✅

• Lines will be based on best bets if we use them since lines change constantly.

EXPERT PICKS

Take it easy the first week of betting on NCAA football. This initial week is crucial for observing how teams integrate new players and adapt to new coaches.

Watch the games closely to understand team dynamics and performance. Go light on your bets this week; as the season progresses and you gain insights into the players and strategies, you can approach betting more aggressively. Patience now will pay off later!

BEST BETS

• I will do straight bets for all of these and usually do round robins (2x2 parlays)
• Fanduel and Draftkings has no sweat bets so I did some bomb parlays.

UNLV vs Houston over 55.5

• Coaching Upgrade: Houston has made a significant upgrade at head coach with former Tulane boss Willie Fritz, who is known for his offensive acumen.
• Dual-Threat QB: Houston returns dual-threat quarterback Donovan Smith, who can make plays both through the air and on the ground, contributing to a high-scoring offense.
• Running Back Depth: The entire running back rotation for Houston is back, ensuring a balanced and potent offensive attack.
• Motivation to Rebound: Coming off a disappointing 4-8 season, Houston is motivated to prove themselves and will likely come out firing on all cylinders.
• Offensive Firepower: Both teams have the offensive talent to put up points quickly, making the over a strong bet. usually bad defenses too.
• High Scoring Potential: Given the offensive upgrades and returning talent, the total points could easily surpass the 55.5 mark, making for an exciting and high-scoring game.

Get ready for a thrilling offensive showdown! 🏈

Georgia -12.5 ✅

• Clemson's Front Seven Defense: Clemson is introducing six new starters in their front seven defense this year, which could lead to vulnerabilities that Georgia will exploit.
• Georgia's Continuity: Georgia returns 17 starters from last year, providing a strong foundation and continuity that will be advantageous in this matchup.
• Recruitment Strength: Georgia's program is highly attractive, with 33 new players joining the team, ensuring they have top-tier talent ready to step up.
• Star Power: Players like Carson Beck and Trevor Etienne are expected to have standout performances, further tipping the scales in Georgia's favor.
• Depth and Talent: Georgia boasts a deep roster filled with the best of the best, showcasing their ability to dominate on both sides of the ball.
• Winning Margin: Given the factors above, Georgia is poised to not just win, but to do so convincingly, potentially by 20 points, covering the -12.5 spread with ease.
• Go Dawgs!

Penn State - 8.5 ✅

• Drew Allar's Leadership: With Drew Allar at the helm, Penn State is poised to capitalize on the new 12-team playoff format, aiming to control their destiny without worrying about politics.
• Returning Talent: Penn State brings back 13 starters from last year, along with 23 players who have starting experience, providing a solid and experienced foundation.
• Team Cohesion: This Penn State squad is not only talented but also deeply committed to the program, which is crucial in today's college football landscape.
• Motivation and Stability: The players' desire to stay and succeed at Penn State speaks volumes about the program's stability and appeal.
• Offensive Versatility: Even with a new offensive coordinator, Penn State's talent and depth allow them to adapt and dominate, making them capable of dictating the game's pace and score.
• Dominant Performance: Given their strengths and preparation, Penn State is well-positioned to cover the -8.5 spread, potentially writing their own score against West Virginia.

Go Nittany Lions! 🏈

New Mexico vs Arizona over 58.5 ✅

• Noah Fifita's Potential: Noah Fifita is expected to have a standout game, contributing significantly to Arizona's offensive output.
• Fast-Paced Play: Arizona typically plays at a high tempo, which increases the number of possessions and scoring opportunities for both teams.
• Defensive Weaknesses: Both Arizona and New Mexico have historically struggled on the defensive side, making it likely that both offenses will find success.
• High-Scoring Tendencies: Arizona's games often turn into shootouts due to their fast play and less-than-stellar defenses, which bodes well for a high total score.
• Offensive Firepower: With Arizona's offensive capabilities and New Mexico's potential to capitalize on defensive lapses, the game is set up for plenty of points.
• Over 58.5 Points: Given these factors, it's reasonable to expect the total score to exceed 58.5 points, making the over a strong play.

Get ready for a high-sc

Kent St +24.5 vs Pitt

• Personal Insight: Having personally coached Chris Farrell at Kent State who is one of my son's best friends so a little insider knowledge and confidence about Kent State.
• Team Confidence: Chris Farrell is raving about his team, indicating a high level of confidence and morale within the squad.
• Underdog Spirit: Kent State is motivated to prove themselves, especially with the backing of a former coach who believes in their potential.
• Spread Cushion: A +24 spread gives Kent State a significant cushion, making it more achievable for them to cover, even if they don't win outright.
• Team Chemistry: The positive feedback from Chris Farrell suggests strong team chemistry, which is crucial for performing well in challenging matchups.
• Riding with the Golden Flashes:

Go Golden Flashes!

Miami vs Florida over 54 (I am excited for this game) ✅

• Senior Quarterbacks: Both teams feature experienced senior quarterbacks, Miami's Cam Ward and Florida's Graham Mertz, who are capable of leading high-scoring drives.
• Exciting Matchup: The game is expected to be tightly contested throughout, with both teams likely to trade scores, keeping the total points high.
• Key Playmakers: Look out for a crucial late-game connection between Cam Ward and Xavier Restrepo, which could seal the deal for Miami and push the score even higher.
• High Scoring Prediction: With a predicted final score of Miami 34, and Florida 31, the total points would comfortably exceed the 54-point mark.
• Offensive Firepower: Both teams have the offensive talent to light up the scoreboard, making the over a strong bet.
• Late Game Drama: Anticipate a thrilling finish with plenty of scoring opportunities, ensuring the over is covered well before the final whistle.

Enjoy the game and the fireworks! 🏈

USC vs LSU over 64.5 ( I can see both teams scoring in the 30's)

• Identical Teams: Both USC and LSU are known for their high-scoring offenses and tendencies to give points right back to their opponents, setting the stage for a shootout.
• Coaching Prowess: With offensive masterminds like Lincoln Riley and Brian Kelly at the helm, expect plenty of offensive fireworks despite the departure of star quarterbacks Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels.
• New Quarterbacks: Miller Moss for USC and Garrett Nussmeier for LSU have shown promise in their backup roles and are expected to keep the scoreboard ticking.
• Defensive Question Marks: Both teams enter the season with significant uncertainties on the defensive side, making it likely that the offenses will capitalize and rack up points.
• High Scoring Potential: Given the offensive talent and defensive vulnerabilities, the total points could easily surpass the 64.5 mark, with a number closer to 70 being more realistic.
• Season Opener Excitement: Playing at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas adds to the excitement and potential for a high-scoring season opener.

Get ready for an offensive showcase! 🏈

Year To Date For Best Bets

Win: 2

Loss: 2

Total: 4

50%

NCAA PLAYER PROPS

QB's

• Jalen Milroe (Bama) over .5 pass yards (prizepicks special)✅
• Miller Moss (USC) over 285.5 pass yds✅
• Drew Allar (PSU) over 210.5 pass yds✅
• Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) over 271.5 pass yds✅
• Graham Mertz (FL) over 243.5 pass yds❌
• Donovan Smith (HOU) over 238 pass yards
• Jalen Milroe over 37 yards rushing✅
• Noah Fifita (az) over 289.5 pass✅

RB'S

• Jo'Quavious Marks (USC) over 67.5 rush✅
• Trevor Etienne over .5 rush or rec td DNP Suspended
• Treveyon Henderson (OSU) over 79.5 rush❌

WIDES

• Malik Rutherford (GT) over 50.5 yards✅
• Duce Robinson (USC) over 44.5 rec yards✅
• Ja’Khi Douglas (FSU) over 38.5 rec yards✅
• Xavier Restrepo (Mia) over 87.5 yards✅
• Silas Bolden (Tex) over 47.5 rec

Year To Date For PROPS

Win: 5

Loss: 4

Total: 9

56%

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DraftKings Lineups Or Bets

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• Houston over 55.5/LSU over 64 = +264

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FANDUEL Lineups Or Bets

• I won't do college fantasy lineups but I will do multiple NFL ones each week.
• No sweat bet parlay Kent St +24.5/PSU Moneyline/Over 54.5 Miami/Over 58.5 Arizona/Over 63.5 = +1677
• yards

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NCAA FOOTBALL Week 1 Thur/Friday (NC vs MINN) and More! (updated 11:25)

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MLB & WNBA Player Props for Taco Tuesday (8/27) (updated 3:41)

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